Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.473337 0.517772 0.566316 0.623610 0.689806 0.764405 0.855571
2024-12-22 0.378250 0.437772 0.508603 0.600574 0.719103 0.870075 1.082785
2024-12-29 0.330900 0.400326 0.488842 0.613507 0.790875 1.045359 1.462406
2025-01-05 0.287029 0.358105 0.453267 0.595599 0.814321 1.160720 1.811437
2025-01-12 0.250171 0.318940 0.414279 0.563327 0.806267 1.222869 2.103813
2025-01-19 0.222304 0.288242 0.382211 0.534471 0.795163 1.274268 2.405375
2025-01-26 0.209734 0.277396 0.377034 0.545668 0.852790 1.471000 3.177296
2025-02-02 0.204068 0.275673 0.384908 0.578936 0.958342 1.811596 4.720958
2025-02-09 0.193150 0.264764 0.376746 0.582649 1.007063 2.048184 6.321907
2025-02-16 0.180313 0.249677 0.360022 0.567949 1.013284 2.180212 7.774840
2025-02-23 0.171594 0.240296 0.351721 0.567638 1.051254 2.424371 10.541368
2025-03-02 0.162147 0.228990 0.338993 0.556760 1.061895 2.592992 13.550672
2025-03-09 0.154606 0.220676 0.331431 0.556805 1.104229 2.919455 20.487731
2025-03-16 0.146080 0.210271 0.319475 0.546692 1.120065 3.175599 30.338359
2025-03-23 0.141816 0.206679 0.319465 0.562138 1.211780 3.858491 71.996258
2025-03-30 0.134160 0.196778 0.306903 0.548079 1.214688 4.136890 131.959568
2025-04-06 0.125498 0.184632 0.289194 0.520132 1.168429 4.116462 184.338118
2025-04-13 0.117842 0.173833 0.273312 0.494686 1.124837 4.088020 265.749959
2025-04-20 0.114948 0.171157 0.272707 0.504793 1.199380 4.904937 5913.487169
2025-04-27 0.114323 0.172405 0.279778 0.534484 1.354060 6.694307 NaN
2025-05-04 0.110996 0.168586 0.276438 0.537808 1.415760 7.931187 NaN
2025-05-11 0.106337 0.162094 0.267203 0.524736 1.409437 8.464625 NaN
2025-05-18 0.103194 0.158214 0.263035 0.524462 1.456343 9.877632 NaN